Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

PT Asuransi Dayin Mitra Tbk (ASDM.JK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Insurance - Property & CasualtySector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1,095.53 - $1,920.73$1,447.01
Multi-Stage$1,743.07 - $1,911.67$1,825.76
Blended Fair Value$1,636.39
Current Price$555.00
Upside194.84%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS1.85%3.45%40.0033.0036.0047.5039.0036.5034.5034.5034.0032.50
YoY Growth--21.21%-8.33%-24.21%21.79%6.85%5.80%0.00%1.47%4.62%14.04%
Dividend Yield--8.51%6.71%7.74%9.60%8.43%7.68%6.39%6.80%7.23%5.42%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)31,836.70
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)19,200.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)12,636.70
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)6,367.343,979.592,387.75
Cash Retained (M)12,636.7012,636.7012,636.70
(-) Cash Required (M)-6,367.34-3,979.59-2,387.75
(=) Excess Retained (M)6,269.368,657.1110,248.94
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)384.00384.00384.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share16.3322.5426.69
LTM Dividend per Share50.0050.0050.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share16.3322.5426.69
(=) Adjusted Dividend66.3372.5476.69
WACC / Discount Rate7.00%7.00%7.00%
Growth Rate0.89%1.89%2.89%
Fair Value$1,095.53$1,447.01$1,920.73
Upside / Downside97.39%160.72%246.08%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)31,836.7032,438.0033,050.6633,674.8934,310.9134,958.9536,007.72
Payout Ratio60.31%66.25%72.18%78.12%84.06%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)19,200.0021,488.9523,857.5126,307.8728,842.2931,463.0533,307.14

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.00%7.00%7.00%
Growth Rate0.89%1.89%2.89%
Year 1 PV (M)19,886.6120,083.7320,280.84
Year 2 PV (M)20,432.2620,839.3121,250.38
Year 3 PV (M)20,850.8021,476.9822,115.58
Year 4 PV (M)21,154.9722,006.2722,883.01
Year 5 PV (M)21,356.4622,436.0723,558.90
PV of Terminal Value (M)565,656.35594,251.30623,991.15
Equity Value (M)669,337.46701,093.66734,079.86
Shares Outstanding (M)384.00384.00384.00
Fair Value$1,743.07$1,825.76$1,911.67
Upside / Downside214.07%228.97%244.44%

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