DDM Analysis: ARSA.ME

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$32.32 - $187.36	$60.11
Multi-Stage	$19.41 - $21.20	$20.29
Blended Fair Value	$40.20
Current Price	$11.20
Upside	258.92%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	27.06%	0.00%	0.50	0.00	0.00	0.20	0.16	0.15	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.07
YoY Growth	-	-	766,562.50%	-72.41%	-99.88%	25.20%	6.52%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	-100.00%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	4.42%	0.00%	0.00%	3.01%	4.02%	4.94%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	3.55%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	116.65
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	61.42
(=) Cash Retained (M)	55.23

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	23.33	14.58	8.75
Cash Retained (M)	55.23	55.23	55.23
(-) Cash Required (M)	-23.33	-14.58	-8.75
(=) Excess Retained (M)	31.90	40.65	46.48
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	123.82	123.82	123.82
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.26	0.33	0.38
LTM Dividend per Share	0.50	0.50	0.50
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.26	0.33	0.38
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.75	0.82	0.87
WACC / Discount Rate	7.96%	7.96%	7.96%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$32.32	$60.11	$187.36
Upside / Downside	188.53%	436.69%	1,572.89%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	116.65	124.23	132.31	140.91	150.07	159.82	164.62
Payout Ratio	52.65%	60.12%	67.59%	75.06%	82.53%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	61.42	74.69	89.43	105.77	123.85	143.84	152.27

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	7.96%	7.96%	7.96%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	68.54	69.19	69.83
Year 2 PV (M)	75.29	76.73	78.18
Year 3 PV (M)	81.71	84.05	86.44
Year 4 PV (M)	87.79	91.17	94.64
Year 5 PV (M)	93.56	98.07	102.77
PV of Terminal Value (M)	1,996.52	2,092.95	2,193.07
Equity Value (M)	2,403.40	2,512.16	2,624.93
Shares Outstanding (M)	123.82	123.82	123.82
Fair Value	$19.41	$20.29	$21.20
Upside / Downside	73.31%	81.15%	89.29%

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Arsagera Asset Management (ARSA.ME)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

High-Yield Dividend Screener