Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Aramark (ARMK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Specialty Business ServicesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$20.21 - $40.39$28.08
Multi-Stage$34.65 - $38.08$36.33
Blended Fair Value$32.21
Current Price$39.00
Upside-17.42%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS-0.01%3.07%0.410.370.430.420.420.410.410.390.380.34
YoY Growth--10.93%-12.84%1.32%0.99%1.01%2.26%5.16%2.28%9.49%12.43%
Dividend Yield--1.06%1.00%1.52%1.42%1.57%1.49%1.29%1.86%1.22%1.33%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)326.39
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)110.82
(=) Cash Retained (M)215.57
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)65.2840.8024.48
Cash Retained (M)215.57215.57215.57
(-) Cash Required (M)-65.28-40.80-24.48
(=) Excess Retained (M)150.29174.77191.09
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)267.56267.56267.56
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.560.650.71
LTM Dividend per Share0.410.410.41
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.560.650.71
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.981.071.13
WACC / Discount Rate5.95%5.95%5.95%
Growth Rate1.07%2.07%3.07%
Fair Value$20.21$28.08$40.39
Upside / Downside-48.17%-28.00%3.55%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)326.39333.15340.05347.09354.28361.61372.46
Payout Ratio33.95%45.16%56.37%67.58%78.79%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)110.82150.46191.69234.57279.14325.45344.53

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate5.95%5.95%5.95%
Growth Rate1.07%2.07%3.07%
Year 1 PV (M)140.62142.01143.40
Year 2 PV (M)167.44170.77174.13
Year 3 PV (M)191.48197.22203.08
Year 4 PV (M)212.96221.52230.33
Year 5 PV (M)232.06243.77255.94
PV of Terminal Value (M)8,325.988,746.119,183.02
Equity Value (M)9,270.549,721.3910,189.89
Shares Outstanding (M)267.56267.56267.56
Fair Value$34.65$36.33$38.08
Upside / Downside-11.16%-6.84%-2.35%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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