Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Anima Holding S.p.A. (ANIM.MI)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Asset ManagementSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$19.41 - $54.34$30.17
Multi-Stage$19.29 - $21.12$20.19
Blended Fair Value$25.18
Current Price$6.06
Upside315.48%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS5.51%0.00%0.240.220.290.240.230.190.180.240.230.15
YoY Growth--11.53%-25.08%20.89%7.44%20.48%3.89%-24.00%2.78%49.70%0.00%
Dividend Yield--3.50%5.08%7.80%5.93%5.13%7.63%4.80%4.30%4.34%2.53%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)263.40
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)146.35
(=) Cash Retained (M)117.05
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)52.6832.9219.75
Cash Retained (M)117.05117.05117.05
(-) Cash Required (M)-52.68-32.92-19.75
(=) Excess Retained (M)64.3784.1397.30
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)325.40325.40325.40
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.200.260.30
LTM Dividend per Share0.450.450.45
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.200.260.30
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.650.710.75
WACC / Discount Rate6.96%6.96%6.96%
Growth Rate3.51%4.51%5.51%
Fair Value$19.41$30.17$54.34
Upside / Downside220.26%397.79%796.70%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)263.40275.28287.69300.67314.23328.41338.26
Payout Ratio55.56%62.45%69.34%76.22%83.11%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)146.35171.91199.48229.18261.17295.56312.89

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.96%6.96%6.96%
Growth Rate3.51%4.51%5.51%
Year 1 PV (M)159.18160.72162.25
Year 2 PV (M)171.03174.35177.70
Year 3 PV (M)181.95187.27192.70
Year 4 PV (M)191.98199.51207.25
Year 5 PV (M)201.18211.09221.38
PV of Terminal Value (M)5,372.285,636.855,911.74
Equity Value (M)6,277.606,569.786,873.03
Shares Outstanding (M)325.40325.40325.40
Fair Value$19.29$20.19$21.12
Upside / Downside218.35%233.17%248.55%

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