Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Amundi S.A. (AMUN.PA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Asset ManagementSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$354.62 - $1,262.07$588.35
Multi-Stage$277.07 - $303.30$289.94
Blended Fair Value$439.15
Current Price$68.70
Upside539.22%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS5.79%13.98%4.164.134.142.910.003.142.662.211.721.14
YoY Growth--0.59%-0.07%41.92%0.00%-100.00%18.16%20.38%28.03%51.60%1.16%
Dividend Yield--6.48%6.71%7.80%4.02%0.00%4.49%5.75%3.12%3.57%2.71%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)2,550.61
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)830.55
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,720.06
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)510.12318.83191.30
Cash Retained (M)1,720.061,720.061,720.06
(-) Cash Required (M)-510.12-318.83-191.30
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,209.931,401.231,528.76
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)200.94200.94200.94
(=) Excess Retained per Share6.026.977.61
LTM Dividend per Share4.134.134.13
(+) Excess Retained per Share6.026.977.61
(=) Adjusted Dividend10.1511.1111.74
WACC / Discount Rate7.41%7.41%7.41%
Growth Rate4.42%5.42%6.42%
Fair Value$354.62$588.35$1,262.07
Upside / Downside416.19%756.41%1,737.08%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)2,550.612,688.752,834.382,987.893,149.723,320.323,419.93
Payout Ratio32.56%44.05%55.54%67.03%78.51%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)830.551,184.411,574.152,002.642,472.932,988.283,163.43

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.41%7.41%7.41%
Growth Rate4.42%5.42%6.42%
Year 1 PV (M)1,092.271,102.731,113.20
Year 2 PV (M)1,338.781,364.551,390.56
Year 3 PV (M)1,570.711,616.281,662.71
Year 4 PV (M)1,788.701,858.211,929.73
Year 5 PV (M)1,993.332,090.622,191.68
PV of Terminal Value (M)47,891.0250,228.6452,656.67
Equity Value (M)55,674.8158,261.0360,944.55
Shares Outstanding (M)200.94200.94200.94
Fair Value$277.07$289.94$303.30
Upside / Downside303.31%322.04%341.48%

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