Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Amerant Bancorp Inc. (AMTB)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$14.62 - $22.56$18.31
Multi-Stage$32.27 - $35.56$33.88
Blended Fair Value$26.10
Current Price$19.27
Upside35.42%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.310.290.290.000.000.000.950.000.000.00
YoY Growth--6.27%-1.37%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.48%1.26%1.34%0.00%0.00%0.00%6.46%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)66.60
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)15.19
(=) Cash Retained (M)51.41
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)13.328.324.99
Cash Retained (M)51.4151.4151.41
(-) Cash Required (M)-13.32-8.32-4.99
(=) Excess Retained (M)38.0943.0946.42
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)42.0342.0342.03
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.911.031.10
LTM Dividend per Share0.360.360.36
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.911.031.10
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.271.391.47
WACC / Discount Rate6.50%6.50%6.50%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$14.62$18.31$22.56
Upside / Downside-24.13%-4.99%17.07%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)66.6065.9365.2764.6263.9763.3365.23
Payout Ratio22.80%36.24%49.68%63.12%76.56%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)15.1923.8932.4340.7948.9857.0060.34

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.50%6.50%6.50%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)22.2122.4422.66
Year 2 PV (M)28.0228.5929.17
Year 3 PV (M)32.7633.7734.80
Year 4 PV (M)36.5638.0839.64
Year 5 PV (M)39.5541.6143.75
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,197.201,259.541,324.45
Equity Value (M)1,356.301,424.031,494.48
Shares Outstanding (M)42.0342.0342.03
Fair Value$32.27$33.88$35.56
Upside / Downside67.47%75.83%84.53%

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