Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

American National Bankshares Inc. (AMNB)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$114.45 - $489.49$281.43
Multi-Stage$58.47 - $63.91$61.14
Blended Fair Value$171.28
Current Price$48.75
Upside251.35%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2023202220212020201920182017201620152014
DPS7.95%5.81%1.201.141.111.111.030.820.790.780.760.68
YoY Growth--5.03%2.68%-0.13%8.00%26.01%3.79%1.43%2.45%11.48%-0.15%
Dividend Yield--2.46%3.60%2.95%3.37%4.32%2.35%2.10%2.09%3.00%3.02%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)26.16
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)12.76
(=) Cash Retained (M)13.41
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)5.233.271.96
Cash Retained (M)13.4113.4113.41
(-) Cash Required (M)-5.23-3.27-1.96
(=) Excess Retained (M)8.1710.1411.44
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)10.6310.6310.63
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.770.951.08
LTM Dividend per Share1.201.201.20
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.770.951.08
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.972.152.28
WACC / Discount Rate7.31%7.31%7.31%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$114.45$281.43$489.49
Upside / Downside134.78%477.29%904.08%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)26.1627.8629.6731.6033.6535.8436.92
Payout Ratio48.76%57.01%65.25%73.50%81.75%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)12.7615.8819.3623.2327.5132.2634.15

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.31%7.31%7.31%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)14.6614.8014.94
Year 2 PV (M)16.5016.8117.13
Year 3 PV (M)18.2718.7919.33
Year 4 PV (M)19.9820.7421.53
Year 5 PV (M)21.6222.6623.75
PV of Terminal Value (M)530.39556.01582.61
Equity Value (M)621.42649.82679.29
Shares Outstanding (M)10.6310.6310.63
Fair Value$58.47$61.14$63.91
Upside / Downside19.93%25.41%31.10%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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