Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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We.Connect S.A. (ALWEC.PA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Consumer ElectronicsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$180.35 - $601.91$294.35
Multi-Stage$114.97 - $125.75$120.26
Blended Fair Value$207.30
Current Price$18.70
Upside1,008.58%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS10.18%0.00%0.380.380.380.000.240.240.230.120.000.11
YoY Growth--0.04%0.80%0.00%-100.00%0.30%0.13%92.61%0.00%-100.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.16%2.54%2.38%0.00%1.27%1.88%2.37%1.11%0.00%0.06%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)19.23
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)2.30
(=) Cash Retained (M)16.93
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)3.852.401.44
Cash Retained (M)16.9316.9316.93
(-) Cash Required (M)-3.85-2.40-1.44
(=) Excess Retained (M)13.0814.5215.48
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)2.912.912.91
(=) Excess Retained per Share4.494.995.32
LTM Dividend per Share0.790.790.79
(+) Excess Retained per Share4.494.995.32
(=) Adjusted Dividend5.285.786.11
WACC / Discount Rate8.59%8.59%8.59%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$180.35$294.35$601.91
Upside / Downside864.44%1,474.05%3,118.77%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)19.2320.4821.8123.2224.7326.3427.13
Payout Ratio11.96%27.57%43.18%58.78%74.39%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)2.305.649.4213.6518.4023.7125.10

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.59%8.59%8.59%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)5.155.205.25
Year 2 PV (M)7.847.988.14
Year 3 PV (M)10.3610.6610.96
Year 4 PV (M)12.7413.2313.74
Year 5 PV (M)14.9815.7016.45
PV of Terminal Value (M)283.56297.26311.48
Equity Value (M)334.63350.03366.01
Shares Outstanding (M)2.912.912.91
Fair Value$114.97$120.26$125.75
Upside / Downside514.81%543.12%572.47%

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