DDM Analysis: ALPJT.PA

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$50.60 - $284.27	$96.24
Multi-Stage	$29.48 - $32.23	$30.83
Blended Fair Value	$63.53
Current Price	$10.30
Upside	516.83%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2025	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016
DPS	14.40%	1.01%	0.20	0.32	0.23	0.15	0.10	0.10	0.13	0.10	0.10	0.15
YoY Growth	-	-	-38.03%	41.18%	50.69%	48.59%	0.00%	-21.17%	25.73%	0.13%	-32.94%	-15.22%
Dividend Yield	-	-	1.92%	1.88%	0.90%	0.74%	1.16%	1.89%	1.47%	0.99%	1.04%	1.90%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	11.07
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	4.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)	7.07

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	2.21	1.38	0.83
Cash Retained (M)	7.07	7.07	7.07
(-) Cash Required (M)	-2.21	-1.38	-0.83
(=) Excess Retained (M)	4.85	5.68	6.24
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	7.75	7.75	7.75
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.63	0.73	0.81
LTM Dividend per Share	0.52	0.52	0.52
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.63	0.73	0.81
(=) Adjusted Dividend	1.14	1.25	1.32
WACC / Discount Rate	7.88%	7.88%	7.88%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$50.60	$96.24	$284.27
Upside / Downside	391.29%	834.36%	2,659.91%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	11.07	11.79	12.56	13.38	14.25	15.17	15.63
Payout Ratio	36.16%	46.93%	57.70%	68.46%	79.23%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	4.00	5.53	7.25	9.16	11.29	13.65	14.45

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	7.88%	7.88%	7.88%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	5.08	5.13	5.18
Year 2 PV (M)	6.11	6.23	6.34
Year 3 PV (M)	7.09	7.29	7.50
Year 4 PV (M)	8.02	8.33	8.65
Year 5 PV (M)	8.91	9.34	9.79
PV of Terminal Value (M)	193.17	202.50	212.19
Equity Value (M)	228.38	238.82	249.65
Shares Outstanding (M)	7.75	7.75	7.75
Fair Value	$29.48	$30.83	$32.23
Upside / Downside	186.23%	199.31%	212.88%

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Poujoulat S.A. (ALPJT.PA)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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