DDM Analysis: ALEXA.PA

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$6,395.87 - $7,535.42	$7,061.79
Multi-Stage	$2,866.72 - $3,144.38	$3,002.97
Blended Fair Value	$5,032.38
Current Price	$154.00
Upside	3,167.78%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	19.93%	11.79%	6.70	4.40	3.68	3.00	3.00	2.70	10.05	8.60	7.76	5.72
YoY Growth	-	-	52.26%	19.57%	22.69%	-0.03%	11.13%	-73.13%	16.89%	10.85%	35.56%	160.27%
Dividend Yield	-	-	4.82%	2.51%	3.09%	3.17%	3.16%	2.35%	10.05%	7.10%	6.57%	8.60%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	42.87
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	16.07
(=) Cash Retained (M)	26.81

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	8.57	5.36	3.22
Cash Retained (M)	26.81	26.81	26.81
(-) Cash Required (M)	-8.57	-5.36	-3.22
(=) Excess Retained (M)	18.23	21.45	23.59
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	1.13	1.13	1.13
(=) Excess Retained per Share	16.11	18.95	20.85
LTM Dividend per Share	14.20	14.20	14.20
(+) Excess Retained per Share	16.11	18.95	20.85
(=) Adjusted Dividend	30.31	33.15	35.05
WACC / Discount Rate	4.39%	4.39%	4.39%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$6,395.87	$7,061.79	$7,535.42
Upside / Downside	4,053.16%	4,485.58%	4,793.13%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	42.87	45.66	48.63	51.79	55.15	58.74	60.50
Payout Ratio	37.48%	47.98%	58.49%	68.99%	79.50%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	16.07	21.91	28.44	35.73	43.84	52.86	55.96

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	4.39%	4.39%	4.39%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	20.79	20.99	21.18
Year 2 PV (M)	25.61	26.10	26.59
Year 3 PV (M)	30.53	31.40	32.30
Year 4 PV (M)	35.55	36.92	38.32
Year 5 PV (M)	40.67	42.64	44.68
PV of Terminal Value (M)	3,090.48	3,239.75	3,394.73
Equity Value (M)	3,243.63	3,397.79	3,557.81
Shares Outstanding (M)	1.13	1.13	1.13
Fair Value	$2,866.72	$3,002.97	$3,144.38
Upside / Downside	1,761.50%	1,849.98%	1,941.81%

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Exacompta Clairefontaine S.A. (ALEXA.PA)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

High-Yield Dividend Screener