DDM Analysis: ALCOF.PA

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$14,727.55 - $17,361.00	$16,265.41
Multi-Stage	$9,979.56 - $10,980.28	$10,470.31
Blended Fair Value	$13,367.86
Current Price	$298.00
Upside	4,385.86%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	19.97%	9.53%	19.92	14.96	30.03	0.00	8.01	8.01	8.01	8.01	8.01	8.01
YoY Growth	-	-	33.10%	-50.17%	0.00%	-100.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	6.00%	4.68%	9.27%	0.00%	2.78%	2.69%	2.36%	2.17%	2.07%	2.07%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	3.46
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	1.35
(=) Cash Retained (M)	2.12

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	0.69	0.43	0.26
Cash Retained (M)	2.12	2.12	2.12
(-) Cash Required (M)	-0.69	-0.43	-0.26
(=) Excess Retained (M)	1.42	1.68	1.86
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	0.04	0.04	0.04
(=) Excess Retained per Share	36.94	43.67	48.16
LTM Dividend per Share	34.90	34.90	34.90
(+) Excess Retained per Share	36.94	43.67	48.16
(=) Adjusted Dividend	71.84	78.58	83.07
WACC / Discount Rate	0.08%	0.08%	0.08%
Growth Rate	2.50%	3.50%	4.50%
Fair Value	$14,727.55	$16,265.41	$17,361.00
Upside / Downside	4,842.13%	5,358.19%	5,725.84%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	3.46	3.58	3.71	3.84	3.97	4.11	4.24
Payout Ratio	38.87%	49.09%	59.32%	69.55%	79.77%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	1.35	1.76	2.20	2.67	3.17	3.70	3.92

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	0.08%	0.08%	0.08%
Growth Rate	2.50%	3.50%	4.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	1.74	1.76	1.78
Year 2 PV (M)	2.15	2.20	2.24
Year 3 PV (M)	2.59	2.66	2.74
Year 4 PV (M)	3.04	3.16	3.28
Year 5 PV (M)	3.51	3.69	3.87
PV of Terminal Value (M)	371.81	390.30	409.52
Equity Value (M)	384.84	403.77	423.43
Shares Outstanding (M)	0.04	0.04	0.04
Fair Value	$9,979.56	$10,470.31	$10,980.28
Upside / Downside	3,248.85%	3,413.53%	3,584.66%

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Cofidur S.A. (ALCOF.PA)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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