Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Applied Industrial Technologies, Inc. (AIT)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - DistributionSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$180.17 - $365.42$251.68
Multi-Stage$178.47 - $195.52$186.84
Blended Fair Value$219.26
Current Price$261.05
Upside-16.01%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS5.44%4.09%1.651.451.381.341.311.261.221.191.151.12
YoY Growth--14.00%4.55%3.17%2.25%3.66%3.40%3.07%2.78%2.97%1.56%
Dividend Yield--0.63%0.65%0.89%1.30%1.45%2.30%2.15%1.53%1.75%2.40%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)401.73
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)66.87
(=) Cash Retained (M)334.87
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)80.3550.2230.13
Cash Retained (M)334.87334.87334.87
(-) Cash Required (M)-80.35-50.22-30.13
(=) Excess Retained (M)254.52284.65304.74
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)38.6538.6538.65
(=) Excess Retained per Share6.597.377.88
LTM Dividend per Share1.731.731.73
(+) Excess Retained per Share6.597.377.88
(=) Adjusted Dividend8.329.109.62
WACC / Discount Rate8.22%8.22%8.22%
Growth Rate3.44%4.44%5.44%
Fair Value$180.17$251.68$365.42
Upside / Downside-30.98%-3.59%39.98%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)401.73419.58438.22457.69478.02499.26514.24
Payout Ratio16.64%31.32%45.99%60.66%75.33%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)66.87131.39201.52277.63360.09449.34475.67

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.22%8.22%8.22%
Growth Rate3.44%4.44%5.44%
Year 1 PV (M)120.25121.42122.58
Year 2 PV (M)168.80172.08175.39
Year 3 PV (M)212.83219.06225.42
Year 4 PV (M)252.65262.56272.76
Year 5 PV (M)288.53302.75317.53
PV of Terminal Value (M)5,854.596,143.106,442.87
Equity Value (M)6,897.667,220.977,556.55
Shares Outstanding (M)38.6538.6538.65
Fair Value$178.47$186.84$195.52
Upside / Downside-31.63%-28.43%-25.10%

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