Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

AAPICO Hitech Public Company Limited (AH-R.BK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Auto - PartsSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$374.57 - $441.31$413.57
Multi-Stage$289.68 - $317.91$303.54
Blended Fair Value$358.55
Current Price$13.90
Upside2,479.52%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS7.72%14.92%1.311.751.110.640.000.901.220.880.500.19
YoY Growth---25.14%58.12%73.03%0.00%-100.00%-26.15%39.85%73.63%162.72%-41.18%
Dividend Yield--10.49%7.93%3.63%2.58%0.00%13.81%6.94%2.71%3.15%1.84%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)745.76
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)265.51
(=) Cash Retained (M)480.25
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)149.1593.2255.93
Cash Retained (M)480.25480.25480.25
(-) Cash Required (M)-149.15-93.22-55.93
(=) Excess Retained (M)331.10387.03424.32
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)336.08336.08336.08
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.991.151.26
LTM Dividend per Share0.790.790.79
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.991.151.26
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.781.942.05
WACC / Discount Rate-0.30%-0.30%-0.30%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$374.57$413.57$441.31
Upside / Downside2,594.76%2,875.33%3,074.89%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)745.76794.24845.86900.84959.401,021.761,052.41
Payout Ratio35.60%46.48%57.36%68.24%79.12%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)265.51369.18485.20614.74759.08919.58973.48

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate-0.30%-0.30%-0.30%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)366.82370.29373.77
Year 2 PV (M)479.02488.14497.35
Year 3 PV (M)603.03620.34637.98
Year 4 PV (M)739.86768.31797.58
Year 5 PV (M)890.57933.59978.25
PV of Terminal Value (M)94,276.7898,830.38103,558.26
Equity Value (M)97,356.07102,011.06106,843.19
Shares Outstanding (M)336.08336.08336.08
Fair Value$289.68$303.54$317.91
Upside / Downside1,984.06%2,083.71%2,187.15%

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