DDM Analysis: AEO

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$20.02 - $40.75	$28.00
Multi-Stage	$25.10 - $27.51	$26.28
Blended Fair Value	$27.14
Current Price	$16.71
Upside	62.43%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2025	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016
DPS	0.78%	-0.08%	0.54	0.47	0.36	0.64	0.13	0.52	0.54	0.49	0.51	0.54
YoY Growth	-	-	15.07%	29.43%	-43.16%	398.58%	-75.37%	-4.47%	9.68%	-2.35%	-6.74%	0.01%
Dividend Yield	-	-	4.84%	1.92%	2.70%	4.20%	0.37%	6.67%	2.24%	2.45%	3.59%	3.79%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	208.42
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	87.84
(=) Cash Retained (M)	120.59

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	41.68	26.05	15.63
Cash Retained (M)	120.59	120.59	120.59
(-) Cash Required (M)	-41.68	-26.05	-15.63
(=) Excess Retained (M)	78.90	94.53	104.95
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	179.39	179.39	179.39
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.44	0.53	0.59
LTM Dividend per Share	0.49	0.49	0.49
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.44	0.53	0.59
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.93	1.02	1.07
WACC / Discount Rate	7.10%	7.10%	7.10%
Growth Rate	2.34%	3.34%	4.34%
Fair Value	$20.02	$28.00	$40.75
Upside / Downside	19.79%	67.57%	143.84%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	208.42	215.39	222.59	230.03	237.73	245.67	253.04
Payout Ratio	42.14%	51.72%	61.29%	70.86%	80.43%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	87.84	111.39	136.42	163.00	191.20	221.11	234.06

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	7.10%	7.10%	7.10%
Growth Rate	2.34%	3.34%	4.34%
Year 1 PV (M)	103.00	104.01	105.02
Year 2 PV (M)	116.65	118.94	121.26
Year 3 PV (M)	128.88	132.70	136.59
Year 4 PV (M)	139.80	145.35	151.05
Year 5 PV (M)	149.50	156.94	164.69
PV of Terminal Value (M)	3,864.41	4,056.94	4,257.06
Equity Value (M)	4,502.25	4,714.88	4,935.66
Shares Outstanding (M)	179.39	179.39	179.39
Fair Value	$25.10	$26.28	$27.51
Upside / Downside	50.19%	57.29%	64.65%

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American Eagle Outfitters, Inc. (AEO)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

High-Yield Dividend Screener