Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

Miscellaneous

Indicators Charts WACC Beta Predictability

Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Emerging Markets Debt Fund - Investor Class (AEDVX)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Asset ManagementSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$9.20 - $13.48$11.26
Multi-Stage$17.05 - $18.69$17.86
Blended Fair Value$14.56
Current Price$8.96
Upside62.47%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2023202220212020201920182017201620152014
DPS0.00%0.00%0.921.031.111.201.230.001.240.650.680.74
YoY Growth---10.02%-7.11%-8.09%-2.08%0.00%-100.00%89.44%-3.82%-7.75%0.00%
Dividend Yield--10.31%11.68%11.91%11.39%13.56%0.00%12.21%6.37%6.87%7.46%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)71.40
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)54.84
(=) Cash Retained (M)16.57
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)14.288.935.36
Cash Retained (M)16.5716.5716.57
(-) Cash Required (M)-14.28-8.93-5.36
(=) Excess Retained (M)2.287.6411.21
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)59.3459.3459.34
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.040.130.19
LTM Dividend per Share0.920.920.92
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.040.130.19
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.961.051.11
WACC / Discount Rate8.26%8.26%8.26%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$9.20$11.26$13.48
Upside / Downside2.64%25.66%50.44%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)71.4070.6969.9869.2868.5967.9069.94
Payout Ratio76.80%79.44%82.08%84.72%87.36%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)54.8456.1557.4458.7059.9261.1164.69

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.26%8.26%8.26%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)51.3551.8752.40
Year 2 PV (M)48.0349.0150.01
Year 3 PV (M)44.8846.2647.68
Year 4 PV (M)41.8943.6345.42
Year 5 PV (M)39.0741.1043.22
PV of Terminal Value (M)786.76827.73870.39
Equity Value (M)1,011.971,059.611,109.11
Shares Outstanding (M)59.3459.3459.34
Fair Value$17.05$17.86$18.69
Upside / Downside90.32%99.28%108.59%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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