Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Aedas Homes, S.A. (AEDAS.MC)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Residential ConstructionSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$25.70 - $38.90$31.91
Multi-Stage$52.84 - $58.12$55.43
Blended Fair Value$43.67
Current Price$25.55
Upside70.92%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR20242023202220212019201820172016
DPS0.00%0.00%3.360.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--15.69%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)129.97
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)58.34
(=) Cash Retained (M)71.63
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)25.9916.259.75
Cash Retained (M)71.6371.6371.63
(-) Cash Required (M)-25.99-16.25-9.75
(=) Excess Retained (M)45.6455.3861.88
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)43.7643.7643.76
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.041.271.41
LTM Dividend per Share1.331.331.33
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.041.271.41
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.382.602.75
WACC / Discount Rate7.06%7.06%7.06%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$25.70$31.91$38.90
Upside / Downside0.57%24.90%52.26%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)129.97128.67127.38126.11124.85123.60127.31
Payout Ratio44.89%53.91%62.93%71.95%80.98%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)58.3469.3780.1790.74101.10111.24117.76

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.06%7.06%7.06%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)64.1464.7965.44
Year 2 PV (M)68.5369.9471.36
Year 3 PV (M)71.7273.9476.21
Year 4 PV (M)73.8876.9580.10
Year 5 PV (M)75.1779.0883.16
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,958.502,060.482,166.67
Equity Value (M)2,311.942,425.182,542.94
Shares Outstanding (M)43.7643.7643.76
Fair Value$52.84$55.43$58.12
Upside / Downside106.80%116.93%127.46%

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