Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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ACM Research, Inc. (ACMR)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: SemiconductorsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$9.65 - $13.27$11.48
Multi-Stage$12.19 - $13.39$12.78
Blended Fair Value$12.13
Current Price$39.13
Upside-69.01%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.100.060.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--74.64%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.44%0.19%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)117.11
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)0.73
(=) Cash Retained (M)116.38
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)23.4214.648.78
Cash Retained (M)116.38116.38116.38
(-) Cash Required (M)-23.42-14.64-8.78
(=) Excess Retained (M)92.96101.74107.59
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)67.3467.3467.34
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.381.511.60
LTM Dividend per Share0.010.010.01
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.381.511.60
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.391.521.61
WACC / Discount Rate12.12%12.12%12.12%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$9.65$11.48$13.27
Upside / Downside-75.33%-70.66%-66.09%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)117.11115.94114.78113.63112.49111.37114.71
Payout Ratio0.62%18.50%36.37%54.25%72.12%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)0.7321.4541.7561.6481.14100.23106.11

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate12.12%12.12%12.12%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)18.9419.1319.32
Year 2 PV (M)32.5433.2133.88
Year 3 PV (M)42.4243.7345.07
Year 4 PV (M)49.2951.3453.44
Year 5 PV (M)53.7656.5659.48
PV of Terminal Value (M)623.84656.32690.15
Equity Value (M)820.80860.30901.35
Shares Outstanding (M)67.3467.3467.34
Fair Value$12.19$12.78$13.39
Upside / Downside-68.85%-67.35%-65.79%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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