DDM Analysis: 9909.HK

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$8.78 - $13.64	$11.03
Multi-Stage	$20.16 - $22.21	$21.17
Blended Fair Value	$16.10
Current Price	$2.01
Upside	700.82%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016
DPS	0.00%	0.00%	0.01	0.27	0.39	0.27	0.26	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
YoY Growth	-	-	-97.69%	-30.21%	41.83%	5.79%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	0.28%	11.19%	6.80%	2.32%	1.24%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	594.80
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	176.91
(=) Cash Retained (M)	417.89

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	118.96	74.35	44.61
Cash Retained (M)	417.89	417.89	417.89
(-) Cash Required (M)	-118.96	-74.35	-44.61
(=) Excess Retained (M)	298.93	343.54	373.28
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	638.78	638.78	638.78
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.47	0.54	0.58
LTM Dividend per Share	0.28	0.28	0.28
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.47	0.54	0.58
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.74	0.81	0.86
WACC / Discount Rate	6.31%	6.31%	6.31%
Growth Rate	-2.00%	-1.00%	0.00%
Fair Value	$8.78	$11.03	$13.64
Upside / Downside	336.81%	448.62%	578.61%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	594.80	588.85	582.96	577.13	571.36	565.65	582.61
Payout Ratio	29.74%	41.79%	53.85%	65.90%	77.95%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	176.91	246.10	313.90	380.31	445.37	509.08	538.92

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.31%	6.31%	6.31%
Growth Rate	-2.00%	-1.00%	0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)	229.15	231.48	233.82
Year 2 PV (M)	272.13	277.72	283.36
Year 3 PV (M)	307.00	316.49	326.18
Year 4 PV (M)	334.74	348.61	362.92
Year 5 PV (M)	356.27	374.82	394.14
PV of Terminal Value (M)	11,378.67	11,971.18	12,588.13
Equity Value (M)	12,877.96	13,520.31	14,188.54
Shares Outstanding (M)	638.78	638.78	638.78
Fair Value	$20.16	$21.17	$22.21
Upside / Downside	902.99%	953.02%	1,005.06%

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Powerlong Commercial Management Holdings Limited (9909.HK)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

High-Yield Dividend Screener