Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Hedab Alkhaleej Trading Co. (9631.SR)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - SpecialtiesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$51.52 - $76.13$63.30
Multi-Stage$92.01 - $101.28$96.56
Blended Fair Value$79.93
Current Price$41.90
Upside90.76%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022
DPS0.00%0.00%0.980.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.08%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)44.52
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)6.70
(=) Cash Retained (M)37.82
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)8.905.573.34
Cash Retained (M)37.8237.8237.82
(-) Cash Required (M)-8.90-5.57-3.34
(=) Excess Retained (M)28.9232.2634.48
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)6.836.836.83
(=) Excess Retained per Share4.234.725.05
LTM Dividend per Share0.980.980.98
(+) Excess Retained per Share4.234.725.05
(=) Adjusted Dividend5.215.706.03
WACC / Discount Rate7.92%7.92%7.92%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$51.52$63.30$76.13
Upside / Downside22.95%51.08%81.69%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)44.5244.0843.6443.2042.7742.3443.61
Payout Ratio15.05%30.04%45.03%60.02%75.01%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)6.7013.2419.6525.9332.0838.1140.34

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.92%7.92%7.92%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)12.1412.2712.39
Year 2 PV (M)16.5316.8717.21
Year 3 PV (M)20.0120.6321.26
Year 4 PV (M)22.7123.6524.62
Year 5 PV (M)24.7426.0327.37
PV of Terminal Value (M)532.31560.03588.89
Equity Value (M)628.45659.48691.75
Shares Outstanding (M)6.836.836.83
Fair Value$92.01$96.56$101.28
Upside / Downside119.60%130.44%141.72%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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