Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Mufeed Company (9615.SR)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Rental & Leasing ServicesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$172.82 - $272.13$218.32
Multi-Stage$427.12 - $470.67$448.47
Blended Fair Value$333.39
Current Price$71.00
Upside369.57%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022
DPS0.00%0.00%6.250.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--8.80%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)92.85
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)33.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)59.85
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)18.5711.616.96
Cash Retained (M)59.8559.8559.85
(-) Cash Required (M)-18.57-11.61-6.96
(=) Excess Retained (M)41.2848.2452.88
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)5.285.285.28
(=) Excess Retained per Share7.829.1310.01
LTM Dividend per Share6.256.256.25
(+) Excess Retained per Share7.829.1310.01
(=) Adjusted Dividend14.0715.3816.26
WACC / Discount Rate5.98%5.98%5.98%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$172.82$218.32$272.13
Upside / Downside143.40%207.49%283.28%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)92.8591.9291.0090.0989.1988.3090.94
Payout Ratio35.54%46.43%57.33%68.22%79.11%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)33.0042.6852.1761.4670.5579.4784.12

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate5.98%5.98%5.98%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)39.8740.2740.68
Year 2 PV (M)45.5146.4547.39
Year 3 PV (M)50.0851.6353.21
Year 4 PV (M)53.7155.9458.23
Year 5 PV (M)56.5159.4562.51
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,009.862,114.522,223.49
Equity Value (M)2,255.542,368.262,485.52
Shares Outstanding (M)5.285.285.28
Fair Value$427.12$448.47$470.67
Upside / Downside501.58%531.64%562.92%

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