Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Sama Healthy Water Factory Co. (9612.SR)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Beverages - Non-AlcoholicSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1.88 - $2.72$2.29
Multi-Stage$3.15 - $3.46$3.30
Blended Fair Value$2.79
Current Price$2.70
Upside3.48%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022
DPS0.00%0.00%0.080.210.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---64.29%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.23%6.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)12.99
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)5.13
(=) Cash Retained (M)7.87
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)2.601.620.97
Cash Retained (M)7.877.877.87
(-) Cash Required (M)-2.60-1.62-0.97
(=) Excess Retained (M)5.276.246.89
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)50.0050.0050.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.110.120.14
LTM Dividend per Share0.100.100.10
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.110.120.14
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.210.230.24
WACC / Discount Rate8.85%8.85%8.85%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$1.88$2.29$2.72
Upside / Downside-30.46%-15.37%0.58%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)12.9912.8612.7312.6112.4812.3612.73
Payout Ratio39.45%49.56%59.67%69.78%79.89%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)5.136.377.608.809.9711.1211.77

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.85%8.85%8.85%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)5.805.865.92
Year 2 PV (M)6.286.416.54
Year 3 PV (M)6.626.827.03
Year 4 PV (M)6.827.107.39
Year 5 PV (M)6.927.287.65
PV of Terminal Value (M)125.15131.67138.45
Equity Value (M)157.58165.14172.99
Shares Outstanding (M)50.0050.0050.00
Fair Value$3.15$3.30$3.46
Upside / Downside16.73%22.32%28.14%

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