Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Saudi Networkers Services Company (9543.SR)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Consulting ServicesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$109.02 - $167.67$136.33
Multi-Stage$239.24 - $262.90$250.84
Blended Fair Value$193.58
Current Price$70.75
Upside173.62%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS0.13%0.00%4.354.351.673.335.294.320.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%161.00%-49.97%-37.05%22.47%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--5.38%7.39%3.33%4.75%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)71.54
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)52.20
(=) Cash Retained (M)19.34
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)14.318.945.37
Cash Retained (M)19.3419.3419.34
(-) Cash Required (M)-14.31-8.94-5.37
(=) Excess Retained (M)5.0410.4013.98
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)6.006.006.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.841.732.33
LTM Dividend per Share8.708.708.70
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.841.732.33
(=) Adjusted Dividend9.5410.4311.03
WACC / Discount Rate6.72%6.72%6.72%
Growth Rate-1.87%-0.87%0.13%
Fair Value$109.02$136.33$167.67
Upside / Downside54.09%92.69%136.99%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)71.5470.9370.3169.7069.1068.5070.56
Payout Ratio72.96%76.37%79.78%83.18%86.59%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)52.2054.1756.0957.9859.8461.6565.27

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.72%6.72%6.72%
Growth Rate-1.87%-0.87%0.13%
Year 1 PV (M)50.2450.7551.27
Year 2 PV (M)48.2649.2550.25
Year 3 PV (M)46.2747.7049.16
Year 4 PV (M)44.2946.1348.02
Year 5 PV (M)42.3344.5346.82
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,204.071,266.681,331.86
Equity Value (M)1,435.461,505.041,577.38
Shares Outstanding (M)6.006.006.00
Fair Value$239.24$250.84$262.90
Upside / Downside238.15%254.54%271.58%

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