Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Daiwa House REIT Investment Corporation (8984.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: REIT - DiversifiedSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$242,407.50 - $644,879.12$371,021.37
Multi-Stage$260,874.96 - $285,419.92$272,919.88
Blended Fair Value$321,970.62
Current Price$128,100.00
Upside151.34%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS3.88%16.39%6,421.915,705.995,662.355,836.815,366.695,309.374,371.593,717.863,024.901,450.57
YoY Growth--12.55%0.77%-2.99%8.76%1.08%21.45%17.58%22.91%108.53%3.08%
Dividend Yield--5.01%4.84%4.10%3.63%3.30%3.83%3.12%2.89%2.25%0.99%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)48,622.53
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)39,721.80
(=) Cash Retained (M)8,900.73
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)9,724.516,077.823,646.69
Cash Retained (M)8,900.738,900.738,900.73
(-) Cash Required (M)-9,724.51-6,077.82-3,646.69
(=) Excess Retained (M)-823.782,822.915,254.04
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)4.614.614.61
(=) Excess Retained per Share-178.53611.771,138.64
LTM Dividend per Share8,608.398,608.398,608.39
(+) Excess Retained per Share-178.53611.771,138.64
(=) Adjusted Dividend8,429.869,220.169,747.03
WACC / Discount Rate6.85%6.85%6.85%
Growth Rate3.26%4.26%5.26%
Fair Value$242,407.50$371,021.37$644,879.12
Upside / Downside89.23%189.63%403.42%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)48,622.5350,694.4952,854.7455,107.0557,455.3359,903.6961,700.80
Payout Ratio81.69%83.36%85.02%86.68%88.34%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)39,721.8042,256.5944,935.2747,765.5250,755.3853,913.3257,073.24

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.85%6.85%6.85%
Growth Rate3.26%4.26%5.26%
Year 1 PV (M)39,167.4339,546.7339,926.04
Year 2 PV (M)38,605.4539,356.8040,115.38
Year 3 PV (M)38,037.0139,152.8240,290.24
Year 4 PV (M)37,463.1838,935.5940,450.99
Year 5 PV (M)36,884.9538,705.8840,598.02
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,013,600.691,063,639.931,115,636.20
Equity Value (M)1,203,758.711,259,337.741,317,016.86
Shares Outstanding (M)4.614.614.61
Fair Value$260,874.96$272,919.88$285,419.92
Upside / Downside103.65%113.05%122.81%

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