Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Starts Proceed Investment Corporation (8979.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: REIT - ResidentialSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$261,797.68 - $503,930.34$358,643.09
Multi-Stage$363,376.83 - $398,173.04$380,447.54
Blended Fair Value$369,545.32
Current Price$169,400.00
Upside118.15%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS4.11%0.00%9,988.9310,331.688,336.258,369.248,617.328,168.608,432.967,965.655,034.295,133.42
YoY Growth---3.32%23.94%-0.39%-2.88%5.49%-3.13%5.87%58.23%-1.93%0.00%
Dividend Yield--5.72%4.97%3.52%3.49%4.33%3.89%5.17%5.06%3.18%3.08%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)4,683.54
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)2,961.16
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,722.38
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)936.71585.44351.27
Cash Retained (M)1,722.381,722.381,722.38
(-) Cash Required (M)-936.71-585.44-351.27
(=) Excess Retained (M)785.681,136.941,371.12
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)0.280.280.28
(=) Excess Retained per Share2,781.524,025.104,854.15
LTM Dividend per Share10,483.3510,483.3510,483.35
(+) Excess Retained per Share2,781.524,025.104,854.15
(=) Adjusted Dividend13,264.8614,508.4415,337.50
WACC / Discount Rate7.02%7.02%7.02%
Growth Rate1.86%2.86%3.86%
Fair Value$261,797.68$358,643.09$503,930.34
Upside / Downside54.54%111.71%197.48%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)4,683.544,817.444,955.165,096.825,242.535,392.405,554.17
Payout Ratio63.22%68.58%73.93%79.29%84.64%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)2,961.163,303.793,663.594,041.264,437.534,853.165,137.61

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.02%7.02%7.02%
Growth Rate1.86%2.86%3.86%
Year 1 PV (M)3,057.073,087.083,117.09
Year 2 PV (M)3,136.843,198.733,261.23
Year 3 PV (M)3,201.813,297.043,394.14
Year 4 PV (M)3,253.223,382.863,516.35
Year 5 PV (M)3,292.223,457.033,628.38
PV of Terminal Value (M)86,699.3691,039.6195,551.96
Equity Value (M)102,640.51107,462.35112,469.15
Shares Outstanding (M)0.280.280.28
Fair Value$363,376.83$380,447.54$398,173.04
Upside / Downside114.51%124.59%135.05%

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