Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

GME Group Holdings Limited (8188.HK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Engineering & ConstructionSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1.19 - $1.71$1.45
Multi-Stage$1.88 - $2.07$1.98
Blended Fair Value$1.71
Current Price$0.84
Upside103.63%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.090.000.000.000.000.000.010.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--17.72%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%9.52%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)83.30
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)19.23
(=) Cash Retained (M)64.07
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)16.6610.416.25
Cash Retained (M)64.0764.0764.07
(-) Cash Required (M)-16.66-10.41-6.25
(=) Excess Retained (M)47.4153.6657.82
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)484.82484.82484.82
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.100.110.12
LTM Dividend per Share0.040.040.04
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.100.110.12
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.140.150.16
WACC / Discount Rate9.30%9.30%9.30%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$1.19$1.45$1.71
Upside / Downside41.95%72.07%103.50%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)83.3082.4681.6480.8280.0179.2181.59
Payout Ratio23.08%36.47%49.85%63.23%76.62%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)19.2330.0740.7051.1161.3071.2975.47

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.30%9.30%9.30%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)27.2427.5127.79
Year 2 PV (M)33.3834.0734.76
Year 3 PV (M)37.9739.1440.34
Year 4 PV (M)41.2542.9644.72
Year 5 PV (M)43.4545.7148.06
PV of Terminal Value (M)730.41768.45808.05
Equity Value (M)913.69957.841,003.73
Shares Outstanding (M)484.82484.82484.82
Fair Value$1.88$1.98$2.07
Upside / Downside124.36%135.20%146.47%

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