Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Vt Holdings Co.,Ltd. (7593.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Auto - DealershipsSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$3,080.20 - $8,455.97$7,924.49
Multi-Stage$1,203.47 - $1,316.13$1,258.77
Blended Fair Value$4,591.63
Current Price$472.00
Upside872.80%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS4.27%5.80%23.9023.2121.5720.0119.2319.3918.4317.4915.5516.53
YoY Growth--2.99%7.62%7.76%4.08%-0.85%5.25%5.34%12.49%-5.90%21.43%
Dividend Yield--5.06%4.52%3.94%4.15%4.17%5.51%4.32%3.00%2.81%3.55%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)5,146.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)2,904.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)2,242.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,029.20643.25385.95
Cash Retained (M)2,242.002,242.002,242.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,029.20-643.25-385.95
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,212.801,598.751,856.05
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)121.03121.03121.03
(=) Excess Retained per Share10.0213.2115.34
LTM Dividend per Share23.9923.9923.99
(+) Excess Retained per Share10.0213.2115.34
(=) Adjusted Dividend34.0237.2039.33
WACC / Discount Rate6.67%6.67%6.67%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$3,080.20$7,924.49$8,455.97
Upside / Downside552.58%1,578.92%1,691.52%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)5,146.005,480.495,836.726,216.116,620.167,050.477,261.98
Payout Ratio56.43%63.15%69.86%76.57%83.29%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)2,904.003,460.704,077.494,759.855,513.696,345.426,717.33

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.67%6.67%6.67%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)3,213.993,244.453,274.92
Year 2 PV (M)3,516.863,583.843,651.46
Year 3 PV (M)3,812.733,922.184,033.70
Year 4 PV (M)4,101.714,259.454,421.70
Year 5 PV (M)4,383.934,595.684,815.53
PV of Terminal Value (M)126,624.94132,740.98139,091.08
Equity Value (M)145,654.16152,346.58159,288.39
Shares Outstanding (M)121.03121.03121.03
Fair Value$1,203.47$1,258.77$1,316.13
Upside / Downside154.97%166.69%178.84%

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