Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Honda Motor Co., Ltd. (7267.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Auto - ManufacturersSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$7,974.57 - $29,019.14$24,980.56
Multi-Stage$3,703.58 - $4,049.94$3,873.60
Blended Fair Value$14,427.08
Current Price$1,394.50
Upside934.57%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS12.06%8.17%77.7254.0547.7042.1032.4243.9843.4138.9336.2535.44
YoY Growth--43.80%13.30%13.31%29.85%-26.27%1.30%11.51%7.41%2.27%0.00%
Dividend Yield--5.57%3.07%3.30%3.84%2.74%4.79%4.58%3.59%3.55%4.13%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)652,983.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)307,347.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)345,636.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)130,596.6081,622.8848,973.73
Cash Retained (M)345,636.00345,636.00345,636.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-130,596.60-81,622.88-48,973.73
(=) Excess Retained (M)215,039.40264,013.13296,662.28
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)4,475.054,475.054,475.05
(=) Excess Retained per Share48.0559.0066.29
LTM Dividend per Share68.6868.6868.68
(+) Excess Retained per Share48.0559.0066.29
(=) Adjusted Dividend116.73127.68134.97
WACC / Discount Rate7.04%7.04%7.04%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$7,974.57$24,980.56$29,019.14
Upside / Downside471.86%1,691.36%1,980.97%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)652,983.00695,426.90740,629.64788,770.57840,040.66894,643.30921,482.60
Payout Ratio47.07%55.65%64.24%72.83%81.41%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)307,347.00387,036.49475,787.06574,439.99683,907.59805,178.97852,371.40

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.04%7.04%7.04%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)358,171.56361,566.56364,961.55
Year 2 PV (M)407,465.67415,226.74423,061.04
Year 3 PV (M)455,262.89468,331.85481,648.56
Year 4 PV (M)501,596.17520,886.14540,727.21
Year 5 PV (M)546,497.79572,893.83600,300.12
PV of Terminal Value (M)14,304,695.3914,995,617.5315,712,982.88
Equity Value (M)16,573,689.4717,334,522.6518,123,681.36
Shares Outstanding (M)4,475.054,475.054,475.05
Fair Value$3,703.58$3,873.60$4,049.94
Upside / Downside165.58%177.78%190.42%

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