Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Wendell Industrial Co., Ltd (6761.TWO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: SemiconductorsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$155.85 - $394.43$234.84
Multi-Stage$115.50 - $125.78$120.55
Blended Fair Value$177.69
Current Price$148.50
Upside19.66%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS38.54%0.00%3.453.493.971.831.450.680.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---1.24%-12.07%116.83%26.00%115.12%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--3.51%4.23%4.36%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)241.21
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)195.72
(=) Cash Retained (M)45.49
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)48.2430.1518.09
Cash Retained (M)45.4945.4945.49
(-) Cash Required (M)-48.24-30.15-18.09
(=) Excess Retained (M)-2.7515.3427.40
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)34.9134.9134.91
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.080.440.78
LTM Dividend per Share5.615.615.61
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.080.440.78
(=) Adjusted Dividend5.536.056.39
WACC / Discount Rate9.24%9.24%9.24%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$155.85$234.84$394.43
Upside / Downside4.95%58.14%165.61%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)241.21256.89273.59291.37310.31330.48340.40
Payout Ratio81.14%82.91%84.68%86.46%88.23%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)195.72212.99231.69251.91273.78297.43314.87

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.24%9.24%9.24%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)193.14194.97196.80
Year 2 PV (M)190.51194.14197.80
Year 3 PV (M)187.84193.23198.72
Year 4 PV (M)185.12192.24199.56
Year 5 PV (M)182.37191.18200.32
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,092.893,242.283,397.38
Equity Value (M)4,031.874,208.044,390.60
Shares Outstanding (M)34.9134.9134.91
Fair Value$115.50$120.55$125.78
Upside / Downside-22.22%-18.82%-15.30%

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