Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Company Industry Sector

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Industry

Sector

San Neng Group Holdings Co., Ltd. (6671.TW)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Household & Personal ProductsSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$17.76 - $25.33$21.48
Multi-Stage$30.48 - $33.30$31.86
Blended Fair Value$26.67
Current Price$36.85
Upside-27.62%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-3.87%0.00%2.481.982.972.972.973.023.483.754.734.10
YoY Growth--25.00%-33.33%0.00%0.00%-1.48%-13.26%-7.17%-20.79%15.42%0.00%
Dividend Yield--5.87%4.57%7.47%6.12%6.40%8.77%7.10%7.28%9.19%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)160.77
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)152.14
(=) Cash Retained (M)8.64
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)32.1520.1012.06
Cash Retained (M)8.648.648.64
(-) Cash Required (M)-32.15-20.10-12.06
(=) Excess Retained (M)-23.52-11.46-3.42
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)61.2861.2861.28
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.38-0.19-0.06
LTM Dividend per Share2.482.482.48
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.38-0.19-0.06
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.102.302.43
WACC / Discount Rate9.58%9.58%9.58%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$17.76$21.48$25.33
Upside / Downside-51.80%-41.71%-31.25%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)160.77159.16157.57156.00154.44152.89157.48
Payout Ratio94.63%93.70%92.78%91.85%90.93%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)152.14149.14146.19143.29140.42137.60145.67

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.58%9.58%9.58%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)134.73136.10137.48
Year 2 PV (M)119.30121.75124.22
Year 3 PV (M)105.63108.90112.23
Year 4 PV (M)93.5297.39101.39
Year 5 PV (M)82.7887.0991.58
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,331.951,401.311,473.53
Equity Value (M)1,867.911,952.542,040.43
Shares Outstanding (M)61.2861.2861.28
Fair Value$30.48$31.86$33.30
Upside / Downside-17.28%-13.54%-9.65%

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