Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sinopower Semiconductor, Inc. (6435.TWO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: SemiconductorsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$91.67 - $153.08$118.70
Multi-Stage$98.59 - $107.57$103.00
Blended Fair Value$110.85
Current Price$103.50
Upside7.10%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-14.70%5.18%2.762.656.364.403.766.123.062.622.622.31
YoY Growth--4.20%-58.33%44.52%17.16%-38.57%100.00%16.67%0.00%13.42%38.69%
Dividend Yield--2.59%2.54%6.73%3.01%3.13%9.40%2.80%2.77%3.79%6.72%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)285.68
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)161.15
(=) Cash Retained (M)124.53
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)57.1435.7121.43
Cash Retained (M)124.53124.53124.53
(-) Cash Required (M)-57.14-35.71-21.43
(=) Excess Retained (M)67.4088.82103.11
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)37.8437.8437.84
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.782.352.72
LTM Dividend per Share4.264.264.26
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.782.352.72
(=) Adjusted Dividend6.046.616.98
WACC / Discount Rate9.98%9.98%9.98%
Growth Rate3.18%4.18%5.18%
Fair Value$91.67$118.70$153.08
Upside / Downside-11.43%14.68%47.91%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)285.68297.63310.08323.05336.56350.64361.16
Payout Ratio56.41%63.13%69.85%76.56%83.28%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)161.15187.88216.57247.34280.29315.58334.07

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.98%9.98%9.98%
Growth Rate3.18%4.18%5.18%
Year 1 PV (M)169.19170.83172.47
Year 2 PV (M)175.63179.05182.50
Year 3 PV (M)180.62185.92191.33
Year 4 PV (M)184.33191.58199.04
Year 5 PV (M)186.88196.12205.71
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,833.872,973.883,119.37
Equity Value (M)3,730.523,897.384,070.42
Shares Outstanding (M)37.8437.8437.84
Fair Value$98.59$103.00$107.57
Upside / Downside-4.75%-0.49%3.93%

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