Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Japan Cash Machine Co., Ltd. (6418.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Business Equipment & SuppliesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$11,783.29 - $13,882.88$13,010.21
Multi-Stage$7,916.30 - $8,684.47$8,293.23
Blended Fair Value$10,651.72
Current Price$984.00
Upside982.49%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS8.95%7.43%33.7115.208.770.019.3721.9618.6417.7317.0018.93
YoY Growth--121.85%73.22%59,623.23%-99.84%-57.32%17.77%5.18%4.27%-10.19%14.98%
Dividend Yield--3.43%1.08%0.75%0.00%1.67%3.73%1.66%1.43%1.45%2.34%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,883.02
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,351.33
(=) Cash Retained (M)531.69
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)376.60235.38141.23
Cash Retained (M)531.69531.69531.69
(-) Cash Required (M)-376.60-235.38-141.23
(=) Excess Retained (M)155.08296.31390.46
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)26.9626.9626.96
(=) Excess Retained per Share5.7510.9914.48
LTM Dividend per Share50.1350.1350.13
(+) Excess Retained per Share5.7510.9914.48
(=) Adjusted Dividend55.8861.1264.61
WACC / Discount Rate2.66%2.66%2.66%
Growth Rate5.43%6.43%7.43%
Fair Value$11,783.29$13,010.21$13,882.88
Upside / Downside1,097.49%1,222.18%1,310.86%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,883.022,004.122,133.002,270.172,416.162,571.542,648.69
Payout Ratio71.76%75.41%79.06%82.71%86.35%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,351.331,511.331,686.321,877.562,086.432,314.392,450.04

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate2.66%2.66%2.66%
Growth Rate5.43%6.43%7.43%
Year 1 PV (M)1,458.311,472.151,485.98
Year 2 PV (M)1,570.081,600.011,630.22
Year 3 PV (M)1,686.821,735.281,784.65
Year 4 PV (M)1,808.711,878.321,949.91
Year 5 PV (M)1,935.962,029.532,126.68
PV of Terminal Value (M)204,942.51214,847.92225,132.69
Equity Value (M)213,402.40223,563.20234,110.12
Shares Outstanding (M)26.9626.9626.96
Fair Value$7,916.30$8,293.23$8,684.47
Upside / Downside704.50%742.81%782.57%

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