Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sumitomo Precision Products Co., Ltd. (6355.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Aerospace & DefenseSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$7,112.39 - $10,716.56$8,814.77
Multi-Stage$13,802.42 - $15,209.01$14,491.84
Blended Fair Value$11,653.30
Current Price$3,635.00
Upside220.59%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2022202120202019201820172016201520142013
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.000.0088.4288.42106.17123.92123.92123.92141.67
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%-100.00%0.00%-16.72%-14.32%0.00%0.00%-12.53%-15.90%
Dividend Yield--0.00%0.00%0.00%3.17%2.42%3.02%4.02%2.71%2.79%3.58%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)2,497.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)211.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)2,286.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)499.40312.13187.28
Cash Retained (M)2,286.002,286.002,286.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-499.40-312.13-187.28
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,786.601,973.882,098.73
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)2.992.992.99
(=) Excess Retained per Share598.36661.08702.90
LTM Dividend per Share70.6770.6770.67
(+) Excess Retained per Share598.36661.08702.90
(=) Adjusted Dividend669.03731.75773.57
WACC / Discount Rate7.22%7.22%7.22%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$7,112.39$8,814.77$10,716.56
Upside / Downside95.66%142.50%194.82%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)2,497.002,472.032,447.312,422.842,398.612,374.622,445.86
Payout Ratio8.45%24.76%41.07%57.38%73.69%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)211.00612.081,005.111,390.231,767.542,137.162,262.42

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.22%7.22%7.22%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)565.10570.87576.64
Year 2 PV (M)856.76874.33892.08
Year 3 PV (M)1,094.081,127.921,162.44
Year 4 PV (M)1,284.261,337.491,392.35
Year 5 PV (M)1,433.661,508.311,586.04
PV of Terminal Value (M)35,977.6537,851.0939,801.77
Equity Value (M)41,211.5143,270.0145,411.33
Shares Outstanding (M)2.992.992.99
Fair Value$13,802.42$14,491.84$15,209.01
Upside / Downside279.71%298.68%318.40%

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