Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Systex Corporation (6214.TW)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Information Technology ServicesSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$238.74 - $1,342.31$453.85
Multi-Stage$168.53 - $184.17$176.21
Blended Fair Value$315.03
Current Price$121.00
Upside160.35%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS6.70%5.90%5.205.004.154.954.953.762.473.462.471.47
YoY Growth--3.98%20.33%-16.00%0.00%31.58%52.00%-28.57%40.00%67.91%-49.74%
Dividend Yield--4.11%4.22%5.27%6.11%5.65%5.11%3.64%5.40%3.84%2.46%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,852.08
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,415.65
(=) Cash Retained (M)436.43
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)370.42231.51138.91
Cash Retained (M)436.43436.43436.43
(-) Cash Required (M)-370.42-231.51-138.91
(=) Excess Retained (M)66.01204.92297.52
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)272.36272.36272.36
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.240.751.09
LTM Dividend per Share5.205.205.20
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.240.751.09
(=) Adjusted Dividend5.445.956.29
WACC / Discount Rate7.09%7.09%7.09%
Growth Rate4.70%5.70%6.70%
Fair Value$238.74$453.85$1,342.31
Upside / Downside97.31%275.08%1,009.34%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,852.081,957.652,069.242,187.182,311.852,443.632,516.94
Payout Ratio76.44%79.15%81.86%84.57%87.29%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,415.651,549.451,693.911,849.792,017.952,199.262,328.17

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.09%7.09%7.09%
Growth Rate4.70%5.70%6.70%
Year 1 PV (M)1,433.241,446.931,460.62
Year 2 PV (M)1,449.341,477.161,505.24
Year 3 PV (M)1,464.011,506.361,549.52
Year 4 PV (M)1,477.301,534.561,593.46
Year 5 PV (M)1,489.281,561.781,637.06
PV of Terminal Value (M)38,586.9240,465.1942,415.91
Equity Value (M)45,900.0947,991.9750,161.81
Shares Outstanding (M)272.36272.36272.36
Fair Value$168.53$176.21$184.17
Upside / Downside39.28%45.63%52.21%

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