Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Lumax International Corp., Ltd. (6192.TW)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Technology DistributorsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$115.29 - $186.34$147.26
Multi-Stage$131.57 - $143.65$137.50
Blended Fair Value$142.38
Current Price$98.00
Upside45.28%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS6.40%3.05%4.963.974.413.753.643.643.642.453.673.67
YoY Growth--25.00%-10.00%17.65%3.03%0.00%0.00%48.50%-33.33%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--4.68%4.01%5.81%4.51%4.36%5.93%4.57%3.83%5.47%6.44%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,006.42
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)528.86
(=) Cash Retained (M)477.56
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)201.28125.8075.48
Cash Retained (M)477.56477.56477.56
(-) Cash Required (M)-201.28-125.80-75.48
(=) Excess Retained (M)276.28351.76402.08
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)96.9496.9496.94
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.853.634.15
LTM Dividend per Share5.465.465.46
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.853.634.15
(=) Adjusted Dividend8.319.089.60
WACC / Discount Rate9.97%9.97%9.97%
Growth Rate2.58%3.58%4.58%
Fair Value$115.29$147.26$186.34
Upside / Downside17.65%50.26%90.14%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,006.421,042.431,079.741,118.381,158.401,199.861,235.85
Payout Ratio52.55%60.04%67.53%75.02%82.51%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)528.86625.86729.14839.00955.791,079.871,143.16

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.97%9.97%9.97%
Growth Rate2.58%3.58%4.58%
Year 1 PV (M)563.64569.13574.63
Year 2 PV (M)591.36602.94614.64
Year 3 PV (M)612.80630.90649.35
Year 4 PV (M)628.70653.58679.18
Year 5 PV (M)639.69671.49704.53
PV of Terminal Value (M)9,718.2610,201.2910,703.33
Equity Value (M)12,754.4513,329.3313,925.67
Shares Outstanding (M)96.9496.9496.94
Fair Value$131.57$137.50$143.65
Upside / Downside34.25%40.30%46.58%

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