Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Welldone Company (6170.TWO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Telecommunications ServicesSector: Communication Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$48.10 - $76.26$60.94
Multi-Stage$125.66 - $138.35$131.88
Blended Fair Value$96.41
Current Price$51.20
Upside88.30%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%2.701.861.421.240.800.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--44.90%31.25%14.29%55.56%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--4.99%3.46%3.53%3.77%3.47%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)471.17
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)302.48
(=) Cash Retained (M)168.69
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)94.2358.9035.34
Cash Retained (M)168.69168.69168.69
(-) Cash Required (M)-94.23-58.90-35.34
(=) Excess Retained (M)74.46109.79133.35
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)98.2798.2798.27
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.761.121.36
LTM Dividend per Share3.083.083.08
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.761.121.36
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.844.204.43
WACC / Discount Rate5.82%5.82%5.82%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$48.10$60.94$76.26
Upside / Downside-6.06%19.02%48.95%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)471.17466.46461.79457.17452.60448.08461.52
Payout Ratio64.20%69.36%74.52%79.68%84.84%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)302.48323.53344.12364.27383.99403.27426.91

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate5.82%5.82%5.82%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)302.66305.75308.83
Year 2 PV (M)301.16307.34313.58
Year 3 PV (M)298.23307.45316.86
Year 4 PV (M)294.09306.28318.84
Year 5 PV (M)288.94303.98319.65
PV of Terminal Value (M)10,863.8011,429.5112,018.54
Equity Value (M)12,348.8812,960.3013,596.30
Shares Outstanding (M)98.2798.2798.27
Fair Value$125.66$131.88$138.35
Upside / Downside145.43%157.58%170.22%

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