Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Industry

Sector

Warom Technology Incorporated Company (603855.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Electrical Equipment & PartsSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$214.84 - $253.12$237.21
Multi-Stage$149.42 - $163.91$156.53
Blended Fair Value$196.87
Current Price$20.29
Upside870.27%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS20.81%13.83%0.980.960.960.480.480.380.380.200.190.26
YoY Growth--2.98%0.00%99.41%0.25%25.00%0.00%92.68%3.77%-25.54%-4.63%
Dividend Yield--4.60%4.12%3.36%2.36%2.49%4.33%3.99%1.83%1.75%2.35%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)440.42
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)340.36
(=) Cash Retained (M)100.06
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)88.0855.0533.03
Cash Retained (M)100.06100.06100.06
(-) Cash Required (M)-88.08-55.05-33.03
(=) Excess Retained (M)11.9845.0167.03
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)346.04346.04346.04
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.030.130.19
LTM Dividend per Share0.980.980.98
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.030.130.19
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.021.111.18
WACC / Discount Rate2.02%2.02%2.02%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$214.84$237.21$253.12
Upside / Downside958.84%1,069.08%1,147.49%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)440.42469.05499.54532.01566.59603.42621.52
Payout Ratio77.28%79.82%82.37%84.91%87.46%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)340.36374.42411.46451.74495.52543.07574.91

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate2.02%2.02%2.02%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)363.57367.02370.46
Year 2 PV (M)387.97395.36402.82
Year 3 PV (M)413.60425.48437.58
Year 4 PV (M)440.54457.48474.91
Year 5 PV (M)468.84491.48514.99
PV of Terminal Value (M)49,631.4552,028.6754,517.63
Equity Value (M)51,705.9754,165.4856,718.39
Shares Outstanding (M)346.04346.04346.04
Fair Value$149.42$156.53$163.91
Upside / Downside636.42%671.45%707.81%

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