Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Zbom Home Collection Co.,Ltd (603801.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Furnishings, Fixtures & AppliancesSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$113.92 - $134.22$125.78
Multi-Stage$44.44 - $48.69$46.53
Blended Fair Value$86.15
Current Price$9.31
Upside825.40%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS18.35%36.84%0.740.530.470.460.360.320.220.120.080.09
YoY Growth--38.05%13.48%3.03%26.65%13.61%43.05%90.48%50.00%-11.84%175.19%
Dividend Yield--6.25%3.17%2.05%2.52%1.22%3.05%1.44%0.48%0.63%0.71%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)292.40
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)275.73
(=) Cash Retained (M)16.68
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)58.4836.5521.93
Cash Retained (M)16.6816.6816.68
(-) Cash Required (M)-58.48-36.55-21.93
(=) Excess Retained (M)-41.80-19.87-5.25
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)433.26433.26433.26
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.10-0.05-0.01
LTM Dividend per Share0.640.640.64
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.10-0.05-0.01
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.540.590.62
WACC / Discount Rate4.62%4.62%4.62%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$113.92$125.78$134.22
Upside / Downside1,123.64%1,251.05%1,341.66%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)292.40311.41331.65353.21376.17400.62412.64
Payout Ratio94.30%93.44%92.58%91.72%90.86%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)275.73290.97307.04323.96341.78360.56381.69

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate4.62%4.62%4.62%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)275.50278.11280.72
Year 2 PV (M)275.25280.49285.79
Year 3 PV (M)274.98282.87290.92
Year 4 PV (M)274.68285.25296.11
Year 5 PV (M)274.36287.61301.37
PV of Terminal Value (M)17,880.4718,744.1119,640.79
Equity Value (M)19,255.2520,158.4421,095.70
Shares Outstanding (M)433.26433.26433.26
Fair Value$44.44$46.53$48.69
Upside / Downside377.36%399.76%422.99%

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