Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Pulike Biological Engineering, Inc. (603566.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: BiotechnologySector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$8.05 - $17.16$11.45
Multi-Stage$6.48 - $7.04$6.75
Blended Fair Value$9.10
Current Price$13.74
Upside-33.75%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS7.18%8.67%0.410.670.190.470.190.290.190.190.140.14
YoY Growth---38.74%253.50%-59.54%148.99%-35.16%50.68%0.63%33.89%0.00%-20.00%
Dividend Yield--3.42%3.67%0.67%1.69%0.92%1.59%1.30%0.95%0.54%0.59%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)143.67
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)136.77
(=) Cash Retained (M)6.90
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)28.7317.9610.78
Cash Retained (M)6.906.906.90
(-) Cash Required (M)-28.73-17.96-10.78
(=) Excess Retained (M)-21.83-11.06-3.87
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)336.73336.73336.73
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.06-0.03-0.01
LTM Dividend per Share0.410.410.41
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.06-0.03-0.01
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.340.370.39
WACC / Discount Rate9.97%9.97%9.97%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$8.05$11.45$17.16
Upside / Downside-41.39%-16.65%24.92%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)143.67153.01162.95173.55184.83196.84202.74
Payout Ratio95.20%94.16%93.12%92.08%91.04%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)136.77144.07151.74159.80168.26177.16187.54

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.97%9.97%9.97%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)129.77131.00132.23
Year 2 PV (M)123.12125.47127.84
Year 3 PV (M)116.80120.15123.57
Year 4 PV (M)110.78115.04119.43
Year 5 PV (M)105.07110.14115.41
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,595.351,672.401,752.41
Equity Value (M)2,180.892,274.212,370.88
Shares Outstanding (M)336.73336.73336.73
Fair Value$6.48$6.75$7.04
Upside / Downside-52.86%-50.85%-48.76%

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