Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Industry

Sector

Shanghai Shuixing Home Textile Co., Ltd. (603365.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Apparel - ManufacturersSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$23.07 - $45.32$31.84
Multi-Stage$19.75 - $21.52$20.62
Blended Fair Value$26.23
Current Price$18.36
Upside42.88%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS4.90%22.62%0.900.700.500.400.800.710.510.230.230.18
YoY Growth--28.63%38.72%25.00%-49.58%12.92%39.73%122.23%0.00%29.87%50.00%
Dividend Yield--5.99%4.10%3.79%2.62%5.47%5.30%2.60%0.92%0.99%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)361.72
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)233.59
(=) Cash Retained (M)128.13
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)72.3445.2127.13
Cash Retained (M)128.13128.13128.13
(-) Cash Required (M)-72.34-45.21-27.13
(=) Excess Retained (M)55.7882.91101.00
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)263.46263.46263.46
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.210.310.38
LTM Dividend per Share0.890.890.89
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.210.310.38
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.101.201.27
WACC / Discount Rate9.91%9.91%9.91%
Growth Rate4.91%5.91%6.91%
Fair Value$23.07$31.84$45.32
Upside / Downside25.63%73.43%146.85%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)361.72383.10405.75429.74455.15482.06496.53
Payout Ratio64.58%69.66%74.75%79.83%84.92%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)233.59266.88303.29343.07386.50433.86459.29

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.91%9.91%9.91%
Growth Rate4.91%5.91%6.91%
Year 1 PV (M)240.53242.82245.11
Year 2 PV (M)246.35251.07255.83
Year 3 PV (M)251.15258.40265.79
Year 4 PV (M)255.00264.86275.01
Year 5 PV (M)257.99270.52283.53
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,953.294,145.324,344.75
Equity Value (M)5,204.305,432.995,670.02
Shares Outstanding (M)263.46263.46263.46
Fair Value$19.75$20.62$21.52
Upside / Downside7.59%12.32%17.22%

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