DDM Analysis: 603062.SS

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$45.96 - $106.04	$67.18
Multi-Stage	$34.92 - $38.02	$36.44
Blended Fair Value	$51.81
Current Price	$55.27
Upside	-6.26%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019
DPS	81.23%	0.00%	1.90	1.25	1.41	1.28	0.13	0.10	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
YoY Growth	-	-	52.17%	-11.70%	10.41%	857.82%	37.59%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	3.77%	2.86%	2.43%	2.20%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	236.24
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	175.46
(=) Cash Retained (M)	60.78

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	47.25	29.53	17.72
Cash Retained (M)	60.78	60.78	60.78
(-) Cash Required (M)	-47.25	-29.53	-17.72
(=) Excess Retained (M)	13.53	31.25	43.06
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	106.15	106.15	106.15
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.13	0.29	0.41
LTM Dividend per Share	1.65	1.65	1.65
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.13	0.29	0.41
(=) Adjusted Dividend	1.78	1.95	2.06
WACC / Discount Rate	9.59%	9.59%	9.59%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$45.96	$67.18	$106.04
Upside / Downside	-16.85%	21.55%	91.85%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	236.24	251.60	267.95	285.37	303.92	323.67	333.38
Payout Ratio	74.27%	77.42%	80.56%	83.71%	86.85%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	175.46	194.78	215.87	238.88	263.96	291.30	308.38

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	9.59%	9.59%	9.59%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	176.07	177.74	179.41
Year 2 PV (M)	176.39	179.75	183.14
Year 3 PV (M)	176.44	181.51	186.67
Year 4 PV (M)	176.25	183.02	190.00
Year 5 PV (M)	175.82	184.31	193.13
PV of Terminal Value (M)	2,825.64	2,962.12	3,103.82
Equity Value (M)	3,706.61	3,868.45	4,036.16
Shares Outstanding (M)	106.15	106.15	106.15
Fair Value	$34.92	$36.44	$38.02
Upside / Downside	-36.82%	-34.07%	-31.21%

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MEGA P&C Advanced Materials (Shanghai) Company Limited (603062.SS)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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