DDM Analysis: 601997.SS

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$20.89 - $39.65	$28.47
Multi-Stage	$53.20 - $58.59	$55.84
Blended Fair Value	$42.15
Current Price	$5.76
Upside	631.83%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	-7.51%	26.16%	0.90	1.02	0.99	1.06	1.19	1.33	0.97	0.75	0.26	0.09
YoY Growth	-	-	-11.73%	2.28%	-6.66%	-10.48%	-10.25%	37.15%	29.68%	186.64%	189.69%	2.16%
Dividend Yield	-	-	15.23%	18.62%	18.04%	16.74%	14.58%	17.30%	10.14%	7.26%	2.08%	1.03%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	5,108.39
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	2,036.42
(=) Cash Retained (M)	3,071.98

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	1,021.68	638.55	383.13
Cash Retained (M)	3,071.98	3,071.98	3,071.98
(-) Cash Required (M)	-1,021.68	-638.55	-383.13
(=) Excess Retained (M)	2,050.30	2,433.43	2,688.85
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	3,693.64	3,693.64	3,693.64
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.56	0.66	0.73
LTM Dividend per Share	0.55	0.55	0.55
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.56	0.66	0.73
(=) Adjusted Dividend	1.11	1.21	1.28
WACC / Discount Rate	5.07%	5.07%	5.07%
Growth Rate	-0.21%	0.79%	1.79%
Fair Value	$20.89	$28.47	$39.65
Upside / Downside	262.73%	394.23%	588.31%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	5,108.39	5,148.69	5,189.29	5,230.22	5,271.48	5,313.05	5,472.44
Payout Ratio	39.86%	49.89%	59.92%	69.95%	79.97%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	2,036.42	2,568.75	3,109.35	3,658.31	4,215.75	4,781.75	5,062.01

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	5.07%	5.07%	5.07%
Growth Rate	-0.21%	0.79%	1.79%
Year 1 PV (M)	2,420.46	2,444.72	2,468.98
Year 2 PV (M)	2,760.73	2,816.34	2,872.50
Year 3 PV (M)	3,060.65	3,153.59	3,248.39
Year 4 PV (M)	3,323.42	3,458.65	3,597.97
Year 5 PV (M)	3,552.01	3,733.59	3,922.52
PV of Terminal Value (M)	181,372.74	190,644.55	200,291.73
Equity Value (M)	196,490.02	206,251.45	216,402.09
Shares Outstanding (M)	3,693.64	3,693.64	3,693.64
Fair Value	$53.20	$55.84	$58.59
Upside / Downside	823.56%	869.44%	917.15%

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Bank of Guiyang Co.,Ltd. (601997.SS)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

High-Yield Dividend Screener