Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Company Industry Sector

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Industry

Sector

SDIC Power Holdings Co., Ltd. (600886.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Renewable UtilitiesSector: Utilities

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$38.86 - $166.19$95.61
Multi-Stage$32.08 - $35.18$33.60
Blended Fair Value$64.61
Current Price$13.06
Upside394.69%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-13.84%-7.46%0.480.900.850.990.971.000.940.941.001.14
YoY Growth---47.40%6.33%-13.62%1.74%-3.41%6.25%0.29%-5.65%-12.80%10.71%
Dividend Yield--3.30%6.11%7.87%10.55%9.75%12.63%11.23%13.24%13.25%16.58%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)6,582.27
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)3,379.48
(=) Cash Retained (M)3,202.79
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,316.45822.78493.67
Cash Retained (M)3,202.793,202.793,202.79
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,316.45-822.78-493.67
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,886.332,380.002,709.12
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)7,747.657,747.657,747.65
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.240.310.35
LTM Dividend per Share0.440.440.44
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.240.310.35
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.680.740.79
WACC / Discount Rate5.55%5.55%5.55%
Growth Rate3.74%4.74%5.74%
Fair Value$38.86$95.61$166.19
Upside / Downside197.55%632.08%1,172.52%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)6,582.276,894.117,220.727,562.817,921.108,296.378,545.26
Payout Ratio51.34%59.07%66.81%74.54%82.27%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)3,379.484,072.614,823.835,637.086,516.577,466.747,904.37

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate5.55%5.55%5.55%
Growth Rate3.74%4.74%5.74%
Year 1 PV (M)3,821.563,858.393,895.23
Year 2 PV (M)4,247.434,329.724,412.79
Year 3 PV (M)4,657.544,793.534,932.15
Year 4 PV (M)5,052.295,249.945,453.33
Year 5 PV (M)5,432.105,699.015,976.32
PV of Terminal Value (M)225,337.92236,410.30247,913.72
Equity Value (M)248,548.84260,340.90272,583.54
Shares Outstanding (M)7,747.657,747.657,747.65
Fair Value$32.08$33.60$35.18
Upside / Downside145.64%157.29%169.39%

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