DDM Analysis: 558.SI

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$1.12 - $2.40	$1.59
Multi-Stage	$0.89 - $0.96	$0.92
Blended Fair Value	$1.26
Current Price	$1.33
Upside	-5.40%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	15.37%	4.42%	0.05	0.05	0.05	0.03	0.04	0.03	0.04	0.04	0.04	0.04
YoY Growth	-	-	5.97%	8.46%	47.26%	-15.00%	42.06%	-36.36%	10.00%	4.17%	0.00%	3.38%
Dividend Yield	-	-	4.82%	3.77%	4.23%	2.59%	3.54%	5.28%	6.87%	4.03%	6.62%	10.01%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	41.57
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	36.95
(=) Cash Retained (M)	4.63

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	8.31	5.20	3.12
Cash Retained (M)	4.63	4.63	4.63
(-) Cash Required (M)	-8.31	-5.20	-3.12
(=) Excess Retained (M)	-3.69	-0.57	1.51
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	711.32	711.32	711.32
(=) Excess Retained per Share	-0.01	0.00	0.00
LTM Dividend per Share	0.05	0.05	0.05
(+) Excess Retained per Share	-0.01	0.00	0.00
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.05	0.05	0.05
WACC / Discount Rate	9.92%	9.92%	9.92%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$1.12	$1.59	$2.40
Upside / Downside	-16.13%	19.66%	80.39%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	41.57	44.28	47.15	50.22	53.48	56.96	58.67
Payout Ratio	88.87%	89.10%	89.32%	89.55%	89.77%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	36.95	39.45	42.12	44.97	48.01	51.26	54.27

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	9.92%	9.92%	9.92%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	35.55	35.89	36.23
Year 2 PV (M)	34.21	34.86	35.52
Year 3 PV (M)	32.91	33.86	34.82
Year 4 PV (M)	31.67	32.89	34.14
Year 5 PV (M)	30.47	31.94	33.47
PV of Terminal Value (M)	465.99	488.50	511.87
Equity Value (M)	630.81	657.94	686.05
Shares Outstanding (M)	711.32	711.32	711.32
Fair Value	$0.89	$0.92	$0.96
Upside / Downside	-33.32%	-30.45%	-27.48%

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UMS Holdings Limited (558.SI)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

High-Yield Dividend Screener