Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Industry

Sector

LongDa Construction & Development Corporation (5519.TW)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Engineering & ConstructionSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$185.73 - $596.74$559.23
Multi-Stage$81.41 - $88.95$85.11
Blended Fair Value$322.17
Current Price$29.95
Upside975.70%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS19.42%12.39%2.202.102.001.801.350.910.340.420.500.47
YoY Growth--4.76%5.00%11.11%33.33%49.04%169.44%-19.49%-16.67%6.12%-31.00%
Dividend Yield--6.11%5.13%8.33%7.17%7.23%7.27%2.09%3.86%3.94%3.55%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)658.15
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)482.23
(=) Cash Retained (M)175.91
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)131.6382.2749.36
Cash Retained (M)175.91175.91175.91
(-) Cash Required (M)-131.63-82.27-49.36
(=) Excess Retained (M)44.2893.64126.55
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)219.34219.34219.34
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.200.430.58
LTM Dividend per Share2.202.202.20
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.200.430.58
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.402.632.78
WACC / Discount Rate6.86%6.86%6.86%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$185.73$559.23$596.74
Upside / Downside520.12%1,767.22%1,892.45%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)658.15700.93746.49795.01846.68901.72928.77
Payout Ratio73.27%76.62%79.96%83.31%86.65%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)482.23537.03596.91662.31733.69811.55859.11

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.86%6.86%6.86%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)497.82502.54507.26
Year 2 PV (M)512.93522.70532.56
Year 3 PV (M)527.57542.72558.15
Year 4 PV (M)541.76562.59584.02
Year 5 PV (M)555.49582.33610.18
PV of Terminal Value (M)15,220.5215,955.6816,718.97
Equity Value (M)17,856.0918,668.5419,511.14
Shares Outstanding (M)219.34219.34219.34
Fair Value$81.41$85.11$88.95
Upside / Downside171.81%184.18%197.01%

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