Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Industry

Sector

Loyalty Founder Enterprise Co.,Ltd. (5465.TWO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Computer HardwareSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$11.53 - $16.13$13.82
Multi-Stage$18.61 - $20.29$19.44
Blended Fair Value$16.63
Current Price$34.10
Upside-51.24%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS37.97%0.00%1.501.501.151.281.110.300.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%30.43%-10.00%15.00%270.37%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--4.35%3.29%4.25%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)276.22
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)265.83
(=) Cash Retained (M)10.39
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)55.2434.5320.72
Cash Retained (M)10.3910.3910.39
(-) Cash Required (M)-55.24-34.53-20.72
(=) Excess Retained (M)-44.85-24.14-10.33
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)147.31147.31147.31
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.30-0.16-0.07
LTM Dividend per Share1.801.801.80
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.30-0.16-0.07
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.501.641.73
WACC / Discount Rate10.76%10.76%10.76%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$11.53$13.82$16.13
Upside / Downside-66.20%-59.48%-52.71%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)276.22273.46270.72268.02265.34262.68270.56
Payout Ratio96.24%94.99%93.74%92.50%91.25%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)265.83259.76253.78247.90242.11236.41250.27

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate10.76%10.76%10.76%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)232.17234.53236.90
Year 2 PV (M)202.73206.89211.09
Year 3 PV (M)177.00182.47188.05
Year 4 PV (M)154.50160.90167.50
Year 5 PV (M)134.84141.86149.17
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,840.611,936.452,036.25
Equity Value (M)2,741.832,863.112,988.97
Shares Outstanding (M)147.31147.31147.31
Fair Value$18.61$19.44$20.29
Upside / Downside-45.42%-43.00%-40.50%

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