Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Ta Ann Holdings Berhad (5012.KL)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Agricultural Farm ProductsSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$14.80 - $84.98$27.70
Multi-Stage$9.18 - $10.01$9.59
Blended Fair Value$18.64
Current Price$4.15
Upside349.23%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%11.51%0.500.200.500.250.050.000.100.100.090.17
YoY Growth--150.00%-60.00%100.00%400.00%0.00%-100.00%-0.08%9.09%-45.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--12.85%4.90%15.82%4.85%1.75%0.00%4.39%3.25%2.48%4.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)188.22
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)176.18
(=) Cash Retained (M)12.03
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)37.6423.5314.12
Cash Retained (M)12.0312.0312.03
(-) Cash Required (M)-37.64-23.53-14.12
(=) Excess Retained (M)-25.61-11.50-2.09
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)440.46440.46440.46
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.06-0.030.00
LTM Dividend per Share0.400.400.40
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.06-0.030.00
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.340.370.40
WACC / Discount Rate7.94%7.94%7.94%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$14.80$27.70$84.98
Upside / Downside256.51%567.43%1,947.75%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)188.22200.45213.48227.35242.13257.87265.61
Payout Ratio93.61%92.89%92.16%91.44%90.72%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)176.18186.19196.75207.90219.67232.08245.69

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.94%7.94%7.94%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)170.88172.50174.12
Year 2 PV (M)165.72168.88172.06
Year 3 PV (M)160.71165.32170.02
Year 4 PV (M)155.84161.83168.00
Year 5 PV (M)151.11158.41165.99
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,239.763,396.243,558.71
Equity Value (M)4,044.024,223.184,408.90
Shares Outstanding (M)440.46440.46440.46
Fair Value$9.18$9.59$10.01
Upside / Downside121.24%131.04%141.20%

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