Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Jaya Tiasa Holdings Berhad (4383.KL)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Agricultural Farm ProductsSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1.24 - $1.82$1.52
Multi-Stage$2.21 - $2.43$2.32
Blended Fair Value$1.92
Current Price$1.20
Upside60.20%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202520242023202220212020
DPS0.00%0.00%0.070.040.040.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--55.37%-2.33%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--5.44%3.85%4.89%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)157.15
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)63.17
(=) Cash Retained (M)93.98
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)31.4319.6411.79
Cash Retained (M)93.9893.9893.98
(-) Cash Required (M)-31.43-19.64-11.79
(=) Excess Retained (M)62.5574.3382.19
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)967.99967.99967.99
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.060.080.08
LTM Dividend per Share0.070.070.07
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.060.080.08
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.130.140.15
WACC / Discount Rate8.23%8.23%8.23%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$1.24$1.52$1.82
Upside / Downside3.67%26.96%52.04%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)157.15155.57154.02152.48150.95149.44153.93
Payout Ratio40.20%50.16%60.12%70.08%80.04%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)63.1778.0392.59106.86120.82134.50142.38

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.23%8.23%8.23%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)71.3772.1072.83
Year 2 PV (M)77.4679.0580.65
Year 3 PV (M)81.7684.2886.86
Year 4 PV (M)84.5588.0591.67
Year 5 PV (M)86.0890.5795.23
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,742.271,832.991,927.46
Equity Value (M)2,143.492,247.052,354.70
Shares Outstanding (M)967.99967.99967.99
Fair Value$2.21$2.32$2.43
Upside / Downside84.53%93.45%102.71%

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