Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Alkhabeer REIT Fund (4348.SR)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: REIT - DiversifiedSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$6.24 - $9.64$7.82
Multi-Stage$14.68 - $16.12$15.39
Blended Fair Value$11.60
Current Price$5.77
Upside101.10%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS13.52%0.00%0.380.280.450.380.260.200.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--33.33%-37.00%17.60%45.45%31.22%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--6.64%4.61%5.92%4.42%2.80%1.84%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)95.22
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)93.39
(=) Cash Retained (M)1.83
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)19.0411.907.14
Cash Retained (M)1.831.831.83
(-) Cash Required (M)-19.04-11.90-7.14
(=) Excess Retained (M)-17.22-10.07-5.31
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)141.01141.01141.01
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.12-0.07-0.04
LTM Dividend per Share0.660.660.66
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.12-0.07-0.04
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.540.590.62
WACC / Discount Rate6.48%6.48%6.48%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$6.24$7.82$9.64
Upside / Downside8.18%35.51%67.02%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)95.2294.2693.3292.3991.4690.5593.27
Payout Ratio98.08%96.46%94.85%93.23%91.62%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)93.3990.9388.5186.1483.8081.4986.27

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.48%6.48%6.48%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)84.5385.4086.26
Year 2 PV (M)76.5078.0779.65
Year 3 PV (M)69.2071.3473.53
Year 4 PV (M)62.5965.1867.86
Year 5 PV (M)56.5959.5362.60
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,720.791,810.391,903.69
Equity Value (M)2,070.202,169.922,273.59
Shares Outstanding (M)141.01141.01141.01
Fair Value$14.68$15.39$16.12
Upside / Downside154.44%166.70%179.44%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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