Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Industry

Sector

Bonyan REIT Fund (4347.SR)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: REIT - DiversifiedSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$9.75 - $14.25$11.92
Multi-Stage$18.21 - $19.94$19.06
Blended Fair Value$15.49
Current Price$9.11
Upside70.02%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018
DPS-1.83%0.00%0.670.660.660.640.400.730.490.000.000.00
YoY Growth--1.52%0.01%3.12%60.39%-45.70%49.96%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--6.82%6.73%7.13%6.56%4.49%7.47%5.85%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)210.51
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)196.27
(=) Cash Retained (M)14.24
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)42.1026.3115.79
Cash Retained (M)14.2414.2414.24
(-) Cash Required (M)-42.10-26.31-15.79
(=) Excess Retained (M)-27.87-12.08-1.55
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)162.88162.88162.88
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.17-0.07-0.01
LTM Dividend per Share1.211.211.21
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.17-0.07-0.01
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.031.131.20
WACC / Discount Rate8.39%8.39%8.39%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$9.75$11.92$14.25
Upside / Downside7.04%30.86%56.39%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)210.51208.40206.32204.25202.21200.19206.20
Payout Ratio93.24%92.59%91.94%91.30%90.65%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)196.27192.96189.69186.47183.30180.17190.73

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.39%8.39%8.39%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)176.22178.02179.82
Year 2 PV (M)158.22161.46164.74
Year 3 PV (M)142.04146.43150.92
Year 4 PV (M)127.51132.80138.25
Year 5 PV (M)114.47120.43126.63
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,247.772,364.822,486.69
Equity Value (M)2,966.233,103.963,247.04
Shares Outstanding (M)162.88162.88162.88
Fair Value$18.21$19.06$19.94
Upside / Downside99.90%109.18%118.83%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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