Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Company Industry Sector

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Industry

Sector

Al Majed Oud Co. (4165.SR)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Specialty RetailSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$55.46 - $81.14$67.84
Multi-Stage$102.76 - $112.58$107.58
Blended Fair Value$87.71
Current Price$148.10
Upside-40.78%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR20242023202220212020
DPS0.00%0.00%5.001.583.924.722.920.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--216.46%-59.69%-16.95%61.64%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--3.65%1.29%3.21%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)182.68
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)150.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)32.68
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)36.5422.8413.70
Cash Retained (M)32.6832.6832.68
(-) Cash Required (M)-36.54-22.84-13.70
(=) Excess Retained (M)-3.859.8518.98
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)24.9924.9924.99
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.150.390.76
LTM Dividend per Share6.006.006.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.150.390.76
(=) Adjusted Dividend5.856.406.76
WACC / Discount Rate8.33%8.33%8.33%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$55.46$67.84$81.14
Upside / Downside-62.55%-54.19%-45.21%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)182.68180.86179.05177.26175.48173.73178.94
Payout Ratio82.11%83.69%85.27%86.84%88.42%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)150.00151.35152.67153.94155.17156.36165.52

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.33%8.33%8.33%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)138.30139.71141.12
Year 2 PV (M)127.47130.09132.73
Year 3 PV (M)117.45121.08124.79
Year 4 PV (M)108.18112.66117.28
Year 5 PV (M)99.61104.79110.19
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,977.572,080.552,187.77
Equity Value (M)2,568.582,688.882,813.89
Shares Outstanding (M)24.9924.9924.99
Fair Value$102.76$107.58$112.58
Upside / Downside-30.61%-27.36%-23.99%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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